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UFC Rematch Betting Strategy & StatisticsPCMAX

2019年11月20日 category : 未分類 

Rematches arent rare in the realm of mixed martial arts. When a fighter sticks round the organization for a length of time, you can rest assured that theyll be scheduled to battle an opponent they have faced at some point or another. On top of that champions will always have 2 or a rematch due to running out of opponents that are fresh to face in their weight class.
When these rematches take place, how should you bet them? In the event you always bet on the fighter who won the first battle? Is the underdog the ideal play? That is a question so I brought up any data on the topic, I wanted to answer.
From the rematch, when fighters have confronted each other to get a repeat bout, the winner of the preceding fight has gone 71-43-3 since UFC 1. This means the winner is successful in 62% of rematch??struggles.
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So as to use these numbers we need to dive right into them. Our database for fight odds goes back into 2012, therefore well use from then until present day (August 9,??2019) as our sample size for favorites and underdogs.
Fighters who won the first fight walked??into the rematch because of gambling favorite??36??times out of a total of 60??rematches since 2012, winning 28??of those fights (77.7??percent??win rate).
While that is an extremely high success rate, the profit from these fights isnt quite as large as you might??imagine given the simple fact that a portion of the fighters??would have been favorites by a significant margin. $100 bettors would have walked away with a gain of $377.64??should they kindly wager about the fighter who won the preceding bout once they were recorded as the favorite??at the second struggle all 36??times that happened.
The most important (and profitable) statistic I discovered was that the fighter that won the first bout??won 14??out of 24??rematches when they had been listed as a underdog, providing $100 bettors a profit of $1,013.46.
All in all, because 2012,??should you wager $100 to the boxer that won the very first battle when they competed in??a rematch, then you would have gained a profit of 1,391.10.
History tends to repeat itself, and UFC rematches arent any exception to this rule.
Even though winning his battle, as Daniel Cormier went into his rematch with Anthony Johnson as a +115 underdog bettors may look at UFC 210 as an prime illustration of the. He won in lopsided fashion through entry. Rose Namajunas was likewise an underdog at EVEN money heading with Joanna Jedrzejczyk into her UFC 223 rematch and went on to triumph in a unanimous decision.
While the statistics demonstrate that gambling when they rematch a competition on the fighter who won the very first fight is profitable, the entire reverse can clearly be said about betting on fighters in a rematch bout who dropped the very first competition.
Favorites in rematches when they dropped the first battle are 10-14, losing $100 bettors that a total of 926.21.
Underdogs in rematches if they lost the first battle are 8-28, losing $100 bettors that a total of $979.
In other words gambling statistics into phrases as straightforward as you can, youll feel secure gambling on a fighter when they take. Whether theyre listed as favorites or maybe not, you will acquire long term to a gain executing this technique.
Not all rematches are created equal. There are a few fights that never ought to be scrapped a second??time, or even a third??period in certain instances *ahem*BJ Penn vs Frankie Edgar*ahem*.
To take these conflicts out of this equation, for curiositys sake??when choosing ONLY title fights I wished to consider the amounts. For the struggle to fall under this class, both the first fight and the rematch needed to have been to get the belt.
The listing for the winner is 25-10.
Since 2012, previous winners in fights for the name are 17-3, netting $100 bettors a profit of $725.20.
These numbers clearly do nothing but further the point that betting on the winner heading right into a rematch is a play that is smart, so feel free to employ this strategy if you would like to win a little money, going forward.

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