2019年07月29日 category : 未分類 

This weekend, we have a 12-fight PPV card at Brazil. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a great deal of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I can. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at the $30k prize, then I will probably take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Raoni Barcelos — $9,600
Barcelos is your money game play for me . On the gambling line he is currently -1100 and he’s -206 to win ITD. He is additionally +110 to win in round 1. He is my favourite play on the plank, the only real issue is being able to afford him. For money games, I will for sure match him . For GPPs it will be harder to have 6 wins paying for his huge salary, but I enjoy him there as well. I simply won’t make it a priority to get him into those tournament lineups, but money I need that -1100 in my team to get a safe win.
GPP drama of the week — Ryan Spann — $8,800
This is a battle I’d like to target. My preferred drama is Spann however Little Nog is in play also. The line for FDGTD is -280 and I think Spann can win via KO or sub, and it might be 1st round too. I think he can compete with the 9k fighters and that he could be a man that kicks them off the 1st location lineup. Small Nog is the better boxer though and Spann does not have a great chin , so I really could see Nog winning through KO. I really don’t think that is probably, so that I will not be thick on him, but he will make my participant pool. Spann is a man I believe is in play in all formats and I will try to be obese on him. It is more of a fade on Little Nog at this point, but I really don’t see this fight going all 3-rounds and I enjoy Spann to find the win.
Underdog play of the week — Alex Volkanovski — $7,800
On DraftKings, I anticipate Volkanovski to be very chalky and rightfully so. He’s my favorite play in this battle and his previous scores pretty much make him a man you can’t fade if you are MMEing. I don’t see him having the ceiling that he did in his previous struggles vs Aldo, but these numbers are hard to ignore. His 6 UFC wins have each totaled over 100 DK points. From latest fight to his introduction, all these are his DK scores: 107, 100, 129, 116, 107, and 115. That’s pretty wonderful. I think he’s a fantastic prospect of upsetting the legend and possibly getting an end for another score. I really don’t think Aldo is a fantastic matchup for him to show that 100+ point ceiling however at $7.8k we don’t require that lots of points. I believe IF he wins, he easily pays off that wages.
Fade of the week — Luana Carolina — $8,900
There’s absolutely no way I am paying $8.9k for Carolina. She’s the fade of this week and whether or not it disturbs me afterward it burns me. I don’t see that being true though even when she wins. I expect this struggle to keep standing and I really don’t watch her striking at a pace to pay off her cost without getting a finish. I don’t think she gets that finish so even if she wins I think she scores nearer to 75 DK points and in her salary that won’t wind up to the perfect lineup. Even if I create 150 lineups this week I won’t get any exposure to Carolina.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 on this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I am 76-45 to get +260.95 (+$26,095) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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